Posts

Showing posts from April, 2014

Gold Selling Could Dry Up Soon.

Image
Gold for June delivery fell $5.40, to settle at $1,288.50 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. That was the lowest settlement for a most -  ctive contract since April 3. May silver also took a hit, losing nearly 25 cents to $19.35 an ounce.  Gold prices had brea ched the 200 - day moving average around $1,299 right before the long weekend, which may have prompted some technical - based selling.The 100 - day moving average around $1277.0 could be the next target, and a close under that level could send gold even lower. But the producer- merchant segment of Comex participants are now showing their lowest short position in eight years, which indicates that selling could dry up soon.  Traders kept watch on the Ukraine - Russia conflict. The international organization tasked with helping to defuse the crisis intends to work on bolstering its ranks with more monitors. 

For the gold price, two outcomes are possible.

Image
For the gold price, two outcomes are possible. First is a return to or near the April low ($1,277.40). Second is a drop to a lower low, $1,240 - $1,260. Yet a third possible outcome is that the June and December lows were not a double bottom and one further drop may come. I account that the least likely, and look for a low here by the end of the week, but I'm no more'n a nacheral born durnd fool from Tennessee, so what do I know?   You'd think that an institution charged with promoting the gold industry would produce reports that at least cast the best light on gold's prospects. You'd think wrong, if you're thinking about the World Gold Council. They've been negative on gold for, oh, the last 14 years or so. Today they issued a report that contained a nugget about Chinese business using physical gold as collateral for bank credit ($40 bn worth) but they managed to tease a gloomy forecast even out of this inventive monetary use. That and bad