Eurozone Situation Help Push Gold Price Up

Gold remains within $1,170 – $1,190; we expect this range to hold. However, we have been looking for a retracement in gold from its all-time highs, and now believe that the retracement has largely run its course.

The strength in gold demand on approach of $1,170 is a positive sign. With gold above $1,200, physical buying interest had dried up. But we are once again witnessing some buying interest and re-stocking out of Asia. The buying interest in the physical market is not great yet, but could increase should gold fall further. We would view a dip towards $1,170 as a buying opportunity.
The futures market remains supportive of gold. COMEX gold has seen the net long non-commercial position decline to 32.9% of open interest, down from 33.3% the previous week.

Current speculative length is below the average of 36% over the past 12 months. Looking at the futures market, gold is not overbought yet.

Gold support is at $1,171 and $1,158. Resistance is at $1,193 and $1,201.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Gold edges up on weaker dollar, dovish U.S. Fed policy bets

Image
 Gold edged higher on Monday, helped by a weaker dollar and expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will reiterate its dovish monetary policy stance this week. Spot gold was up by 0.1% at $1,943.58 per ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $1,950.10 per ounce. “Gold is firm on the basis that the Fed could adopt a further dovish message with respect to average inflation targeting,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK. “If you want to have a policy of average inflation targeting, you’re going to have to go into detail as to how you are going to arrive at that particular outcome.” The dollar retreated on Mond ay, bolstering gold’s appeal for investors holding other currencies, ahead of the Fed’s policy decision due on Wednesday. “If inflation forecasts remain at 2% or below, this could offer gold a tailwind as the zero-yielding metal thrives in a low-interest rate environment,” said FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga. Market participants are also wai...
Read more

The price of gold advanced as high as $1,603.40 per ounc

Image
The gold price broke out to a new all-time high above $1,600 per ounce Monday morning, rising for the eleventh consecutive trading session. The price of gold advanced as high as $1,603.40 per ounce before backing off to trade just the $1,600 level. The yellow metal gained on the back of a surge in borrowing costs for Italy, the latest European nation to see its bond market come under heavy selling pressure. The lack of a deal to raise the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling also helped boost gold prices. The eleven-day rise in the gold price is the longest winning streak since January of 1980. The gold price delivered another noteworthy performance last week, climbing 3.2% on its way to a series of fresh record highs. With Monday’s advance, the gold price extended its monthly and year-to-date gains to 6.6% and 12.5%, respectively. Last week’s two-day Congressional testimony by Chairman Ben Bernanke on the economy and monetary policy revealed that the Fed remains open to the...
Read more

Disappointing non-farm payrolls data - Gold price back to 1,600 Level

Image
The gold price surged higher Friday morning, by $49.77, or 3.2%, to $1,612.48 per ounce following a very disappointing report on the U.S. labor market.  The spot price of gold hovered near $1,550 in overnight trading, but turned sharply upwards following the worse than expected non-farm payrolls report for May. The May employment report showed that the U.S. economy added only 69,000 jobs, far below the 150,000 consensus estimate among economists and even less than the lowest forecast of 75,000.  Furthermore, the April non-farm payrolls figure was revised downward from 115,000 to 77,000 while the March data was cut from 154,000 to 143,000.  As for the unemployment rate, it climbed from 8.1% to 8.2%. Commenting on the jobs data and the implications for the gold price, Saxo Bank vice president Ole Hansen stated that “(The report was) very poor and confirmed the midcycle slowdown in the United States.  Whether it will be enough to change the mind of t...
Read more